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☆ Crisis-stricken Argentina must dollarize and get rid of the central bank, veteran economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A man wearing a Diego Maradona t-shirt walks by the Argentine Central Bank on November 30, 2023 in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Data published Tuesday by the country's statistical office showed that Argentina's 12-month inflation rate through February rose to 276.2%, reaffirming Argentina's position as having the world's worst inflation. Hanke said that in 1999 he had drafted a law at the request of former President Carlos Menem that would have dollarized Argentina's economy. Advocates of dollarizing Argentina's economy say the switch could help the country tame skyrocketing inflation and bring an end to its boom-and-bust cycle. Ecuador and Panama are two notable examples of countries that have previously dollarized their economies, but no country of Argentina's size has previously shifted to the U.S. dollar.

Persons: Diego Maradona, Tomas Cuesta, Javier Milei, Steve Hanke, Milei, Hanke, CNBC's, Carlos Menem, he'd, Argentina Javier Milei, Donald Trump Organizations: Argentine Central Bank, Getty, Monday, Johns Hopkins University, Argentine Congress, International Monetary Fund, CNBC, U.S . Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, London, Ecuador, Panama

☆ Wall Street titans like Jamie Dimon, David Solomon, and Jeffrey Gundlach are still worried about a recession — and warn investors are too complacent
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-02 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here's a roundup of recent recession warnings from six experts:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase CEOAdvertisementThere's a long history of investors being caught off guard by sudden downturns, Dimon told CNBC this week. AdvertisementSteve Hanke, Johns Hopkins professorThe US economy is headed for a recession if history is any indication, Hanke told Business Insider this week. AdvertisementPaul Dietrich, B. Riley Wealth Management's chief investment strategist"We're still on the path to recession," Dietrich told Business Insider in a recent interview. AdvertisementJeffrey Gundlach, DoubleLine Capital CEO"I think recession is closer than most people think," Gundlach said in a recent YouTube video.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, There's, Dimon, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Solomon, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's, Zentner, Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, We're, Dietrich, Jeffrey Gundlach, Gundlach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, JPMorgan, CNBC, UBS, DoubleLine Locations: American, Russia, Ukraine, Israel

☆ Steve Hanke reiterates his view that bitcoin is a 'highly speculative asset with zero value'
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSteve Hanke reiterates his view that bitcoin is a 'highly speculative asset with zero value'Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, says bitcoin is "clearly not a currency. Anything that's this volatile could never … qualify as a currency."

Persons: Steve Hanke Organizations: Johns Hopkins University

☆ Warren Buffett's $168 billion cash pile signals he expects stocks to slide and a recession to strike, says top economist Steve Hanke
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Warren Buffett's company boosted its cash pile by $60 billion in 15 months to a record $168 billion. The investor may be expecting stocks to dive and a recession to hit, top economist Steve Hanke said. Buffett hit out at rank speculation and gambling on stocks, and Hanke voiced similar concerns. AdvertisementWarren Buffett's massive war chest signals that he expects stocks to tumble and the economy to tank, Steve Hanke says. Hanke echoed Buffett's complaint in his latest shareholder letter about the rise of reckless speculation and casino-style gambling on stocks.

Persons: Warren, Steve Hanke, Buffett, Hanke, —, Berkshire Hathaway, Johns Hopkins, Ronald Reagan, Goldman Sachs, Davidson, they've Organizations: Service, Johns, Toronto Trust, Buffett, Electric, Dow Chemical, Harley Locations: Berkshire, Toronto Trust Argentina

☆ Nobel laureate Paul Krugman says this isn't a 'Goldilocks' economy – it's even better, thanks to strong growth and cooling inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Paul Krugman believes the outlook for the US economy is better than a "Goldilocks" scenario. Krugman's comments came after Bureau of Economic Analysis data showed that the US's GDP rose by a better-than-expected 3.3% over the final quarter of 2024. AdvertisementThe US economy isn't just headed for a so-called "Goldilocks" scenario – things are looking even better than that, according to Paul Krugman. "This is not a Goldilocks economy," the Nobel Prize-winning economist wrote on X Thursday, referring to a situation where growth, inflation, and unemployment are all at levels that look "just right". "We have an economy that is both satisfyingly hot (GDP) and refreshingly cold (inflation)."

Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman's, —, Krugman, Joe Biden, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Steve Hanke, David Rosenberg, Hanke, Rosenberg, it'd Organizations: Service, Bureau, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Fox Business

☆ The S&P 500 just hit an all-time high – but many other US stocks are still in a bear market
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewBlue-chip US stocks are trading at record levels – but small caps are still feeling the pain. That means the widely-followed gauge is technically still in a bear market, with high interest rates hammering lower-market-cap stocks even as AI powers the "Magnificent Seven" Big Tech titans to massive gains. "40% of Russell 2000 companies lose money, so these are companies that rely on credit to stay afloat." But the Russell 2000 is still in a bear market," he added. Economic bellwetherThe Russell 2000 isn't just a gauge of smaller-cap stock prices – it's also an economic bellwether.

Persons: —, Russell, they've, Ronald Temple, Lazard, Charles, Henry Monchau, That's, isn't, it's, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Steve Hanke, David Rosenberg, Hanke, Rosenberg, it'd Organizations: Service, Business, Big Tech titans, Federal Reserve, Facebook, Big Tech, Microsoft, Nvidia, Syz, LinkedIn, JPMorgan Locations: Swiss

☆ Bank credit is shrinking for the first time since the Great Recession – and that's a red flag for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The last one was during the Great Recession, brought about by the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. The extended slump in bank lending comes as many Wall Street experts continue to project a pessimistic outlook for the economy, despite the surprisingly upbeat trend seen in 2023. Recession warningsThe US economy defied forecasters' gloomy predictions by dodging a recession last year, with strong consumer spending helping to prop up growth. AdvertisementBut not everyone on Wall Street is so cheerful. It might be a mild recession or a heavy recession," he added, noting it's possible that the downturn bites in 2024.

Persons: —, Jeffrey Gundlach, Henry Kravis, David Rosenberg, Steve Hanke, Gary Shilling, Continentale, Janet Yellen, haven't, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Hanke, Rosenberg, it'd Organizations: Service, Business, Governors, Federal, Wall, Louis Federal Reserve, Bank, Federal Reserve, Philadelphia Fed, JPMorgan, Fox Business Locations: Bank, Ukraine, Gaza

☆ The US dollar is central to Argentina's plan to fix its broken economy. There's just one hitch.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Argentina's new president Javier Milei wants to adopt the US dollar to tame sky-high inflation. There's a major problem with his plan to revive the ailing South American economy. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementRight-wing economist Javier Milei won Argentina's presidential runoff Sunday – and that means the country could soon ditch the peso for the US dollar. Under the president-elect's plan, the government would scrap the peso and replace it with the dollar.

Persons: Javier Milei, doesn't, —, Milei, Mary, Read, John Hopkins, Steve Hanke, Guillermo Ortiz, Nora Mazzini, Lucila Bonilla Organizations: Service, Central Bank of, US Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Bank, Reuters, Bloomberg, Bank of Mexico, Economics, Oxford Economics Locations: Central Bank of Argentina, Ecuador, El, Panama, Argentina, Mar del Plata, Argentine

☆ Argentina's new president Javier Milei thinks adopting the US dollar can rescue its screwed economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

He thinks replacing the peso with the dollar can tame hyperinflation and revive the battered economy. Prominent economist Steve Hanke — a champion of Milei's dollarization drive — posted on X after the results were announced that the candidate's proposal was "clearly a vote-getter." REBUILDING ARG'S ECONOMY = DOLLARIZATION. AdvertisementDespite its economic woes, Argentina's economy was worth $633 billion in 2022, making it the world's 23rd-largest economy. Critics of Milei's dollarization plans cite major challenges for Argentina against its backdrop of hyperinflation, economic crises, and political instability.

Persons: Javier Milei, —, Javier Milei's, Milei, Milei's, dollarize, Steve Hanke —, Milei’s, Steve Hanke, Milei's dollarization, There's, Markus Jaeger, Jaeger Organizations: Service, Johns Hopkins University, Argentine, Argentina, International Monetary Fund, Business Locations: Argentina, Argentine

☆ Argentina: Steve Hanke says many arguments against dollarization are 'absolute rubbish'
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailArgentina: Steve Hanke says many arguments against dollarization are 'absolute rubbish'Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at John Hopkins University, discusses the possible implications that libertarian Javier Milei's victory in Argentina's presidential runoff contest may have for the peso.

Persons: Steve Hanke, dollarization, Javier Milei's Organizations: Argentina, John Hopkins University

☆ Warren Buffett's company has built a record $157 billion cash pile so he can capitalize when the economy tanks, veteran professor Steve Hanke says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has built a record $157 billion pile of cash and Treasuries. Buffett is gearing up to snag bargains and strike deals once the economy weakens, Steve Hanke says. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "This is classic Buffett," Hanke, a professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, told Markets Insider in a recent interview. The Berkshire boss will profitably put his dry powder to work once the economy slumps, Hanke said.

Persons: Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Steve Hanke, Hanke, —, Warren Buffett, they've, who's, Ronald Reagan, Goldman Sachs, Berkshire's, Lee Munson Organizations: Service, Johns Hopkins University, Fed, Toronto Trust, Electric, Dow Chemical, Swiss, Berkshire Locations: American, Toronto Trust Argentina, Berkshire

☆ Opinion: Restaurants should end tipping for good
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Opinion Corey Mintz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The Wall Street Journal described this as Chicago eliminating the “tips-as-wage system,” which makes it sound like a ban on tipping. It’s a shame, because tipping has always been a scam that enables restaurants to suppress labor costs, which keeps menu prices down. Tipping emerged as a model for employing formerly enslaved Black workers without having to pay them a real wage, if anything at all. Instead, restaurants should pay a living wage (if the revenue does not cover the actual cost of labor, what kind of business is it? Despite today’s dire labor shortage, precious few restaurants seem willing to re-examine their employment model in order to address it.

Persons: Corey Mintz, CNN — It’s, Jaime Hogge, Steve Hanke, Nick Kokonas, ” Kokonas, “, Tipping, North America wouldn’t, ” Organizations: Public Affairs, CNN, Twitter, Chicago Locations: Chicago, Toronto , Ontario, North America

☆ This currency is now the world’s top performer, after rebounding from record lows
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A roadside money changer handling Pakistani rupee coins in Karachi, Pakistan. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe Pakistani rupee has rebounded from an all-time low to become the world's top performing currency — and there's still room to strengthen, analysts say. The currency plummeted to a record low of 307 rupees against the greenback in early September, according to data from LSEG. This was largely owed to a government clampdown on a widespread illicit dollar trade. The lofty figure was largely owed to the weakness of Pakistan's currency, reduced domestic fuel and electricity subsidies, and supply chain disruptions, the report said.

Persons: there's, Tahir Abbas Arif Habib, Tahir Abbas, Arif Habib, Abbas, Steve Hanke Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, PKR, South Korean, Federal Investigation Agency, Pakistan, CNBC, Johns Hopkins University, Bank, World Bank, Johns Hopkins Locations: Karachi, Pakistan, LSEG

☆ Steve Hanke expects a recession in the U.S. next year as money supply contracts
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSteve Hanke expects a recession in the U.S. next year as money supply contractsSteve Hanke, professor of applied economics at John Hopkins University, says the Fed is looking at lagging indicators, adding that he does not believe that the U.S economy is on track for a "soft landing."

Persons: Steve Hanke Organizations: John Hopkins University Locations: U.S

☆ Warren Buffett may be bracing for a recession – and Michael Burry's latest big short is a 'good move,' says top economist Steve Hanke
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Warren Buffett and Michael Burry may be expecting a market downturn and recession, Steve Hanke says. Berkshire Hathaway sold a net $8 billion of stocks and added to its cash pile in the second quarter. Burry's Scion firm placed bets against the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 worth a notional $1.6 billion. Steve Hanke says the Berkshire Hathaway CEO and the investor of "The Big Short" fame are likely preparing for trouble. "It looks to me like Burry has made a good move," Hanke said about the Scion chief's latest big short.

Persons: Warren Buffett, Michael Burry, Steve Hanke, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett's, Hanke, Buffett, Goldman Sachs, Davidson, Elon Musk's Tesla, Burry, Ronald Reagan Organizations: Scion, Nasdaq, Service, Berkshire, Johns Hopkins University, Toronto Trust, Electric, Harley, Scion Asset Management, Elon, & $ Locations: Wall, Silicon, Toronto Trust Argentina, Mars

☆ Top economist Steve Hanke says stocks look expensive – and a recession is 'right around the corner'
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Stocks look "pretty pricey" and a recession is "right around the corner," Steve Hanke told Insider. Hanke sees inflation cooling, 10-year Treasury yields falling, and house prices staying afloat. As for the housing market, Hanke noted there's a shortage of homes for sale. Steve Hanke is professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University. "With lower inflation and a recession right around the corner, I anticipate that the 10-year yields will come down and the gap will close," Hanke said.

Persons: Steve Hanke, Johns Hopkins, Hanke, Portia Crowe, Ronald Reagan, Price, bode Organizations: Treasury, Service, Johns Hopkins University, Toronto Trust, Federal Locations: Wall, Silicon, Toronto Trust Argentina

☆ Brazil's real, not the dollar, could be the solution to Argentina's currency turmoil, an economist says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Zahra Tayeb | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Argentina should peg the peso to Brazil's real, not the US dollar, to deal with exchange-rate instability and hyperinflation, an economist said. "If Argentina wants a currency peg so badly - Dollarization is after all just a peg - peg to Brazil," Robin Brooks said. "If Argentina wants a currency peg so badly - Dollarization is after all just a peg - peg to Brazil. AdvertisementAdvertisementSome market experts have also backed the idea of Argentina potentially adopting the US currency – economist Steve Hanke recently called for the nation to mothball its central bank and dollarize. Brooks' latest comments come after he suggested earlier that Argentina needs a recession to fix its crashing currency, not dollarization.

Persons: Robin Brooks, Brooks, Javier Milei, Steve Hanke Organizations: Service, Institute of International Finance, South, greenback Locations: Argentina, Brazil, Wall, Silicon, South American

☆ A sushi crunch is capturing Russia's worsening economic woes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-20 | by ( Joseph Wilkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Russia's currency and inflation woes are well captured by something economists don't usually focus on: sushi. Local prices of the Japanese delicacy are surging due to the ruble's plunge and Russia's rift with the West, a report said. The Russian currency hit a 16-month low last week, as the country's current account reels from the impact of Western sanctions. Russia's exchange-rate turmoil and spiraling inflation are now being captured in something that rarely crosses economists' radar: the price of sushi. Restaurateurs in the Eurasian nation are already grappling with surging prices of sushi ingredients, according to the report.

Persons: Steve Hanke, Maxim Tagin, Ilya Zakharov, cy, Vladimir Putin, Putin Organizations: West, Service, Russia, Metro, Financial Times Locations: Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Restaurateurs, Odintsovo, Sochi, Russian, Russia

☆ Investors are 'sleepwalking' into market turmoil and a recession early next year, top economist Steve Hanke warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are ignoring the risks of market turmoil and a recession in early 2024, Steve Hanke warns. The full impact of the decline in US money supply hasn't been felt yet, he says. Hanke is worried about the federal debt, but doesn't see BRICS nations threatening dollar dominance. "I'm saying, 'No, we haven't seen the decline in the money supply hit the real economy yet,'" Hanke continued. "Money is a fuel that runs the economy, and we had a huge buildup of excess fuel," Hanke said.

Persons: Steve Hanke, hasn't, Hanke, Johns Hopkins, We're, Ronald Reagan Organizations: Service, Johns, Stansberry Research Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Argentina should ditch the peso in favor of a 'hard dollar regime' to get inflation under control, think tank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Jason Ma | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Argentina should adopt the US dollar to get inflation under control, the Cato Institute said. "This type of hard dollar regime is exactly what Argentina needs now." This type of hard dollar regime is exactly what Argentina needs now," Cato researchers wrote in a paper published on Thursday. A top presidential candidate has proposed switching to the dollar as a way to tame inflation, which is soaring more than 100%. Other countries use the dollar as their primary currency or alongside a local currency, including some in Latin America.

Persons: Cato, Steve Hanke, Argentina's, Hanke, dollarization Organizations: Cato Institute, Service, Argentine, International Monetary Fund, Johns Hopkins University Locations: Argentina, Wall, Silicon, Latin America

☆ America's inflation headache is gone, top economist Steve Hanke says. Paul Krugman and Mohamed El-Erian aren't so sure.
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

US inflation fell to a two-year low of 3% in June, dividing experts on whether the threat is over. Top economist Steve Hanke said the headache is gone and the Fed has things under control. Paul Krugman was less convinced, while Mohamed El-Erian noted a recession could still hit. Even if inflation is on the retreat, interest rates may need to remain high to prevent a resurgence, Krugman continued. El-Erian's comment raises the prospect that inflation could rear its head again, forcing the Fed to keep hiking rates and trigger a recession.

Persons: Steve Hanke, Paul Krugman, Mohamed El, Erian, stoked, aren't, Johns Hopkins, Ronald Reagan, Hanke, Krugman Organizations: Service, Reserve, CNBC, Princeton, MIT, Phillips, Fed Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ 2-year Treasury yield continues to slide after cool June CPI figure
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

U.S. Treasury yields were mostly lower on Thursday after June's inflation print came in cooler than expected , reducing the likelihood of more aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve . The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note slid 2 basis points to 3.8417% while the yield on the 2-year fell more than 5 basis points to 4.6872%, and the 5-year yield dropped more than 4 basis points to 4.0277%. At the longer end of the curve, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was fractionally higher at 3.9529%. The results could heavily influence the trajectory of the Fed's monetary policy decisions and signal the road ahead for inflation. Auctions will be held Thursday for $70 billion of 4-week Treasury bills and $60 billion of 8-week bills, along with $18 billion of 30-year bonds.

Persons: Steve Hanke, CNBC's Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: United States

☆ Inflation is 'history' for the U.S, says veteran economist Steve Hanke
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

watch nowThe U.S. no longer has an inflation problem, according to veteran economist Steve Hanke. "Money supply changes cause changes in the price index and inflation." The core consumer price index, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 4.8% from a year ago and 0.2% month-on-month. "When inflation was going and roaring, the producer price index roared up first and then the consumer price index roared up. Steve Hanke Professor, Johns Hopkins University

Persons: Steve Hanke, CNBC's, Hanke, Leonardo Munoz Organizations: Johns Hopkins University, Corbis, Getty, Federal Reserve, Traders, Johns Hopkins Locations: U.S, United States, New York City

☆ Economist Steve Hanke says the 'inflation story is history' for the U.S.
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomist Steve Hanke says the 'inflation story is history' for the U.S.Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, says "one reason for that is the fact that the money supply has been contracting on a year-over-year basis by 4% in the United States."

Persons: Steve Hanke Organizations: U.S, Johns Hopkins University Locations: United States

☆ Turkish lira sinks to fresh lows following the central bank's interest rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Turkey's Taksim Square, with the figure of Kemal Ataturk, the first president, and the Turkish flag in the background. The Turkish lira sank to new record lows after Turkey's central bank raised the country's benchmark interest rate by 650 basis points in a dramatic monetary policy reversal. The central bank lifted its key interest rate by almost double, from 8.5% to 15% Thursday, marking the country's first hike since March 2021. The lira — which has been extending its plunge since President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's reelection — was last trading at 24.97 against the greenback. Newly appointed Governor Hafize Gaye Erkan hinted at more hikes until the inflation situation in the country improves.

Persons: Turkey's, Kemal Ataturk, Recep Tayyip Erdogan's, —, Steve Hanke, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Erkan Organizations: Turkish, Johns Hopkins University

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